Current best bets in the NFL -- Odds, pointspreads, over/unders, etc.

Who will go no. 1 overall in the 2018 NFL Draft? Odds and recommendation

Wednesday, April 4, 2018 3:01 AM

Sexy Cleveland Browns babeWagering on the “Who Will Be Drafted First Overall I the 2018 NFL Draft?” proposition bet would be a helluva lot easier if it weren’t those wacky Cleveland Browns drafting at no. 1 overall.

This should really be a no-brainer – particularly when the same franchise holds both the first and fourth picks in said draft.

Super Bowl LIII props: Five teams that have the sportsbooks confused

Sunday, April 1, 2018 9:52 PM

Sexy 49ers fan Genevieve ChanelleOn the off-chance that betting on Super Bowl LIII props needs justification, not only can NFLbets remind that it’s never too early, etc., but also that this far out from opening day kickoff, some advantageous investments may be made: Right now, odds offered on the “Super Bowl LIII” futures bet are highly variable and, with a little searching, the clever bettor may find a nice handful of favorable odds if he/she is willing to spread the bankroll around a bit.

NFLbets compiled the below list of five teams on which the sportsbooks appear to be behind the curve. Specific odds from two leading online sportsbook websites are used; so as to protect the not-quite-innocent, NFLbets will used “Online Sportsbook 1” and “Online Sportsbook 2.”

Super Bowl LII: Shut up and bet on the Patriots

Thursday, February 1, 2018 10:05 PM

Sexy hot New England Patriots fanAren’t we all overcompensating a little here? If so, we can blame it on those damn New England Patriots.

Sure, prior to the millennium we’d seen Super Bowl upsets before, though hardly of the mind-blowing sort we’d get courtesy of Brady’s bunch: The 6½-point underdog New York Giants surprised *those* Buffalo Bills, winning an awesome Super Bowl XXV straight-up, 20-19.

Super Bowl LII betting: Our MVP proposition bet selections

Thursday, February 1, 2018 6:43 AM

Bonkowski!The Most Valuable Player in the Super Bowl proposition bet is always one of NFLbets’ favorites to make. NFLbets’ll wager on anywhere from two to five players, spreading these bets proportionately among favorites (read: QB/QBs) and longshots.

Sometimes it works beautifully, sometimes it doesn’t. Somehow, for example, Von Miller got 17/1 odds in this prop for Super Bowl 50 after a defensive MVP season and backed by an offense helmed by a decrepit QB. Sure, the Panthers were 6-point favorites, but one little hedge made up for 16 bad bets that year.

In contrast, don’t even get NFLbets started about Freakin’ Santonio Holmes in Super Bowl XLIII. Seriously, any other f***ing year, Ben F***ing Roethlisberger wins the thing, but noooooooooooooooooo! The bookies had to take all my money that year.

Super Bowl LII betting: The first-half pointspread

Wednesday, January 31, 2018 4:43 AM

sexy Eagles fanFrom a pure sports narrative perspective, isn’t the New England Patriots vs Philadelphia Eagles matchup we’re getting the worst of the four outcomes we were teased with for Super Bowl LII a couple weekends ago? Patriots vs Vikings was probably the most desired outcome, but any of the other three combiations at least provides the “first-time NFL champion” plotline.

NFC Championship game: This could get ugly

Saturday, January 20, 2018 11:54 PM

Sad Eagles fansNFLbets is going a bit against the popular grain vis-à-vis this year’s NFC Championship Game. NFLbets doesn’t think this game’ll be particularly close despite all hype predictably touting the contrary. One particular ATS stat sticks out and it’s enough to confirm those who pragmatically believe one shouldn’t be betting on Nick Foles in order to win money.

So we’ll do a bit on Minnesota Vikings at Philadelphia Eagles
momentarily, but let’s get another item or two out of the way first.

AFC Championship game: What’s the argument for Jacksonville, again…?

Friday, January 19, 2018 10:52 PM

Sexy babe in Julian Edelman gearConfirmation bias kills, particularly at the sportsbook, but NFLbets ’ll be damned if we can come up with one compelling reason for the Jacksonville Jaguars to even cover the ineffably plunging 7½-point line (down from 9) currently on offer.

As it stands, one argument keeps this ’spread from going double-digit, and one other brought the 1½-point plunge: These would be the Jaguars’ ridiculously good defense and an undisclosed injury to Tom Brady’s throwing hand, respectively. The first of course bears far more serious inspection.

Thank you, NFL, for confirming our parlay

Friday, January 19, 2018 10:42 PM

Within minutes of the stupid extra-point boondoggle at the end of the New Orleans Saints-Minnesota Vikings divisional, NFLbets was wagering on a New England Patriots-Minnesota Vikings parlay for the conference championship round.

Happily, the league has already decided that these are the franchises that will be playing in Super Bowl LII. In similar fashion to the missile attack warning sent to unsuspecting Hawaiians (oopsie!) last week, this “accidental” posting on the league’s Facebook page showed fans a wee bit too much of the script:

The Super Bowl is fixed

So thank you, NFL, for arranging NFLbets’ win and beefing up our bankroll for the Super Bowl LII. One question: When will the “Congratulations to the Super Bowl champion Minnesota Vikings” post going live?

– written by Os Davis

AFC, NFC championship games: The first bet

Monday, January 15, 2018 3:45 AM

Vikings and Patriots fan“A proposition bet saved my bacon.” –Anonymous gambler

So going into Sunday’s final divisional playoff games, favorites were 6-1 ATS – with the double-digit underdog Tennessee Titans the sole loss – and NFLbets admits to sweating heavily going into the New Orleans Saints-Minnesota Vikings divisional at an amazing 1-5 for the weekend and thus down M4 (where M denotes Moneys, NFLbets’ preferred currency.

Sunday Divisional playoffs: Betting Blake, Ben, Brown, Bell, Brees, Barr…

Saturday, January 13, 2018 1:00 PM

Pittsburgh Steelers babeRight. So for Sunday’s NFL divisional round playoff games, NFLbets is employing the keep-it-simple, anti-overthinking philosophy in the wake of the 4-0 underdog sweep ATS in the wild card round which more of us really should’ve anticipated.

Pittsburgh Steelers -7 vs Jacksonville Jaguars
On one side of the logical balance is Blake Bortles. You’ve heard the statistics, and the brain’s natural tendency to suppress traumatic experiences has likely gloriously erased Bortles’s futile attempts to complete a damn screen pass last week from your memory. Video makes for a great reminder, but the NFL has apparently gone through great pains to erase all evidence of Bortles’s suckitude. However, there is still this preseason highlight out there, and little suggests Bortles is improved.