When can you bet without regret on Mac Jones in 2022? Only when all other trending advantages are on your side. And hoo boy, is that the case with the primetime Thanksgiving Day game, with a line of
New England Patriots +2½ at Minnesota Vikings, over/under 42 points
After the Cowboys thoroughly spanked the Vikings (along with anyone deluded enough to believe in this team as a viable Super Bowl contender) on Sunday, NFL bettors were reminded of certain realities, i.e. the Vikes are running with a first-year head coach, their offensive line rather falls apart when LT Christian Darrisaw goes out and, well, Kirk Cousins is your quarterback.
And with Cousins come stats like a 10-18 SU/11-17 ATS record as a starter in night games – not to mention this year’s ATS record of 4-5-1.
Starting Cousins while running on smoke and mirrors is obviously not sustainable: The Vikings are 3-0 SU but 1-2 ATS against first-year head coaches’ teams this season; they’re also 5-0 SU against teams currently with a losing record but 2-3 ATS in those games.
So in come the New England Patriots, with head coach Bill Belichick well known for dominating in short weeks: Since 2000, his Pats are 14-4 SU/10-6-2 ATS on Thursdays.
More immediately, New England brings an ever scarier pass rush defense to bear against Cousins & Co. The Patriots D leads the league in QB pressures and in five of the past six have allowed 17 or fewer points. Essentially, the Pats will show Minnesota the same look the Cowboys gave ’em in week 11 and research shows that didn’t turn out so well for the Vikings…
As for Justin Jefferson, well, we all know what they say about Belichick removing that chief weaponry. Last Sunday, the Cowboys double-teamed Jefferson while blitzing repeatedly, and the stud WR was left to season lows in targets and catches. With no Darrisaw shoring up the left side, this could be quite the long day for Vikings backers. So take the Patriots +2½ and take the over on an O/U of 42 points.
– written by Os Davis
Daniel Jones and the Giants' offensive line played well against the Vikings. They allowed only four quarterback hits and averaged 5.6 yards per carry. Left tackle Andrew Thomas has been named to the Second Team All-Pro. Giants will play the Eagles in the Divisional Round. Giants were beaten by the Philadelphia Eagles 48-22 in Week 14.
The 2022 draft was fair. Marcus Jones was the star of the class. The owner may be happy with the results. He said it. The reality needs to be explored and the illusory thinking exposed.
Alexander Mattison played seven offensive snaps against New York. He didn't record a rush and caught his lone target for two yards. Dalvin Cook played 88% of the snaps on offense. Mattisons rushed 74 times for 283 yards and five touchdowns in 17 regular-season games. He had 5+ carries in six games, with a season-high 10 for 54 yards at Chicago. The 24-year-old was a third-round pick out of Boise State in the 2019 NFL draft. His contract runs until 2023. Minnesota won 13 games this season. It's the third time in franchise history the team won more than 13.
The Baltimore Ravens lost to Miami Dolphins 42-38 on Sunday. New England Patriots beat Pittsburgh Steelers 17-14 on the same day. The Patriots have six quarterback sacks and one interception. Lamar Jackson has passed for 531 yards and rushed for 119 yards in the loss. The Ravens have covered the number in each of their last four games following a loss ATS. Final Score Prediction: Baltimore Raven win and cover AATS 24-17. They play the New Patriots on September 25th.