We’re halfway through the 2020 season somehow, but this is no time to sentimentalize! Let’s get back to the betting, namely Thursday Night Football in week 9 and the line of…
Clearly the sportsbooks are taking injuries far more than home field into account for this line. For this game, Jimmy Garoppolo, Tevin Coleman, Deebo Samuel and George Kittle have joined a list of injuries substantial enough to form a starting roster from.
Not that the 49ers have been much to speak of thus far in 2020; the 4-4 SU/ATS record belies the unmet expectations of the defending NFC champions. The four losses have come against teams that are a combined 6-24-1 SU, and their sole impressive game was against the Rams in week 7.
Green Bay has gone from swaggering to staggering in the past three weeks in taking pretty emphatic losses to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Minnesota Vikings in that time. Excepting these losses, however, the Packers are a nice 5-0 SU/ATS – though admittedly the Packers’ schedule has been about as weak as the 49ers’, with just two games against teams over .500.
The Packers defense is fairly mediocre in most areas and rank bottom-3 in turnovers, bagging just one interception since the week 3 games against the Giants; luckily for them, the 49ers offense is also top-3 in giveaways.
Finally, as Packers backers and Packers bettors will tell you, Aaron Rodgers is the key factor. In his career, Rodgers’ Green Bay teams have gone 9-5 SU/9-4-1 ATS in Thursday (a.k.a. short-week) games including the current 4-1-1 ATS streak. And of the last 24 Packers games, the offense went 14 without surrendering a turnover – and they’re 14-0 SU/ATS in those games. Normally, this stat wouldn’t be eminently notable with the 49ers in the NFL’s top-10 for picks but, again, injuries: Three of the four starters in the San Francisco secondary are out this week.
In the end, then, we’ll figure that Rodgers and his guys can do enough to cover that touchdown plus; we’re not certain the second-string 49ers are as bad as a New York team and thus get steamrolled, but we’re confident enough to say take the Green Bay Packers -7½ at San Francisco and we’ll take the under on an O/U of 48 as well.
Now let’s have some sanity for just one Thursday night, all right, 2020…?
–written by Os Davis
Green Bay: Christian Kirksey LB (Questionable), Allen Lazard WR (Questionable), Kevin King CB (Questionable), Aaron Jones RB (Questionable), David Bakhtiari T (Questionable), Lane Taylor G (Out).
San Francisco: Trent Williams T (Out), Kendrick Bourne WR (Questionable), Brandon Aiyuk WR (Out), George Kittle TE (Out), Dante Pettis (Questionable), Tevin Coleman RB (Questionable), Jaquiski Tartt S (Questionable), Jimmy Garoppolo QB (Out), Raheem Mostert RB (Out), Deebo Samuel WR (Out), Jeff Wilson RB (Out), Dee Ford DE (Out), Nick Bosa DE (Out), Solomon Thomas DE (Out), Ezekiel Ansah DE (Out), Richard Sherman CB (Out), Ronald Blair III DE (Out), Jalen Hurd WR (Out), Weston Richburg C (Out), Jordan Reed TE (Probable).
Zachary Carter was drafted by the Cincinnati Bengals in the third round of the 2022 NFL Draft. Josh Edwards of CBS Sports listed him as the Bengals' most questionable draft choice.
The Baltimore Ravens selected 11 players during the 2022 NFL draft. Tyler Linderbaum was one of their first picks. Josh Edwards of CBS Sports named him as the team's most questionable draft pick. Linderbaum is one the most talented centers to come out of college in years.
The Jacksonville Jaguars chose Georgia defensive end Travon Walker with the first overall pick in the 2022 NFL Draft. The pick has been met with mixed reviews and has even been described as "questionable" by one analyst. The Jaguars believe Walker has a higher ceiling and can turn into a productive edge rusher.
Houston Texans made some calculated risks in the 2022 NFL draft. The most questionable pick was the selection of former Alabama receiver John Metchie, who tore his ACL in December 2021. Dr. Lyle Cain, the Alabama football team doctor and also surgeon who worked on Metche's knee, said the wideout looked great three weeks after his surgery.
CBS Sports calls Chris Oladokun's pick at No. 241 overall the Steelers' most questionable of the Day 3 draft. The team already has Mitchell Trubisky, Mason Rudolph, and Kenny Pickett at the quarterback position. The Steelers showed a lot of interest in Oldokon during the pre-draft process. They brought him to Pittsburgh for a pre draft visit. He also attended a South Dakota State Pro Day in April. It's also worth considering that the team has four quarterbacks already on the roster. For the first four picks, the value is not as good as the other three.
The NFL's annual selection meeting took place. Media outlets are grading each team's draft. The consensus is that the Steelers did well with their first seven picks. Some analysts like the second- and third-round picks, but not the rest of the Day 3. The selection of quarterback Kenny Pickett at No. 20 overall was lauded by some and panned by others. It would be 54 picks before another quarterback would come off the board. Pittsburgh's first pick is Desmond Ridder, by the Atlanta Falcons. They will have their next draft in 2022.
The Patriots made some good choices in the draft, but some of their choices and execution were questionable. They wanted to add more impact players on both sides of the ball. The team also wanted more speed and toughness. They got pushed around at times last year. There are many holes on the team.
49ers get questionable NFL free agency grade from CBS Sports. General manager John Lynch spent a lot of time on cornerback and special teams. The team is capable of getting deep into the playoffs. It won't compare to the spending spree of teams like the Jacksonville Jaguars.
Tom Brady is coming out of retirement to play for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The Westgate SuperBook had concerns about insider information on Brady’s return that could have led to big bets being made before the announcement. One bettor was caught laying major action on the Buccaneers at +6000 and +3000 to win the Super Bowl and NFC Championship before Brady's return.