The NFLbets Over/Under Win Total Proposition Bet Standings Board

All right, it’s that time of year when NFLbets consider some early betting we’d like to do on the “Over/Under Win Total” proposition bet. We’ve got a breakdown of the standings table representing each team’s expected (by the sportsbooks) win total for the 2022 NFL season.

But first, a few preliminary findings from last year’s 32 win totals in the prop. While one season is a ridiculously small sample size from which to glean any useful information about overarching trends in the league, 2021 was the first and only 17-game NFL season thus far. Additionally, NFLbets believes that the results were fairly similar to those of recent seasons – albeit seemingly a bit extreme in ’21 – and that we can create some guidelines for successfully betting this prop in ’22.

Some key results from last year’s props include the following. 

• Overall, 12 of the NFL’s 32 teams hit the over in the Over/Under Wins prop, 15 went under and 5 pushed.

• The most outstanding trend: Playoff teams went 12-0-2 in the over; even the Pittsburgh Steelers, who had no business in the playoffs by season’s end, had a 9-6-1 SU record to squeak out the over-9 wins.

• Teams forecast to have 7½ wins or fewer went 2-8-1 on overs; the sole teams to defy this trend were the playoff-bound Philadelphia Eagles and those surprising Cincinnati Bengals.

• Teams forecast to have 10 wins or more went 4-4-2 on overs overall, but 3-1-1 in the NFC. In fact, by the Over/Under Wins Total prop, sportsbooks picked all four winners of the NFC’s divisions: the Dallas Cowboys (over 9½), Green Bay Packers (over 11), Tampa Bay Buccaneers (over 11½) and Los Angeles Rams (over 10½).

Our two prime takaways:

• If you’re covering taking a team in the Over/Under Wins prop, you’d better believe they have at least a reasonable chance at the playoffs; and

• When making predictions of any sort prior to the season, pay attention to the lines in this prop. Bookmakers know what they’re talking about…

And now, the official NFLbets Over/Under Total Wins proposition bet standings table:

AFC EAST
Buffalo Bills* – 12-5-0
Miami Dolphins – 9-8-0
New England Patriots – 8-8-1
New York Jets – 6-11-0

AFC NORTH
Baltimore Ravens* – 10-7-0
Cincinnati Bengals* – 10-7-0
Pittsburgh Steelers – 7-9-1
Cleveland Browns – OFF

AFC SOUTH
Indianapolis Colts* – 10-7-0
Tennessee Titans – 9-7-1
Jacksonville Jaguars – 6-9-1
Houston Texans – 4-12-1

AFC WEST
Kansas City Chiefs* – 10-6-1
Denver Broncos – * 10-7-0
Los Angeles Chargers* – 10-7-0
Las Vegas Raiders – 8-8-1

NFC EAST
Dallas Cowboys* – 10-7-0
Philadelphia Eagles* – 9-7-1
Washington Commanders – 9-8-0
New York Giants – 7-10-0

NFC NORTH
Green Bay Packers* – 11-6-0
Minnesota Vikings* – 9-7-1
Chicago Bears – 6-10-1
Detroit Lions – 6-10-1

NFC SOUTH
Tampa Bay Buccaneers* – 11-5-1
New Orleans Saints – 8-8-1
Carolina Panthers – 6-10-1
Atlanta Falcons – 5-12-0

NFC WEST
Los Angeles Rams* – 10-6-1
San Francisco 49ers* – 10-7-0
Arizona Cardinals – 8-8-1
Seattle Seahawks – 5-11-1