How to win $1 million on Music City Miracle 2.0

30 December 2018

Do you believe in miracles? Do you believe that lightning can strike twice in the same place? Week 17 presents bettors with one serious longshot bet that’s the proverbial crazy enough to work out for NFL bettors this week.

For the Tennessee Titans to make the playoffs, the equation is simple: Beat the Indianapolis Colts today in Memphis and they’re in. However, incredibly enough, the Titans still have a shot at not only make the playoffs, but to earn the f&#^#^ing *no. 2 seed and a bye for round one!!!!!!!!1!!!1!11!*

Of course, the odds against such an occurrence – or, more precisely put, a combination of occurrences – are insanely long. So you say you believe; the likely path to a Titans no. 2 seed, with odds on a money line (ML) bet for each listed in parentheses, looks like this:

• Jacksonville Jaguars (+360) win at Houston;
• New York Jets (+550) win at New England;
• Cleveland Browns (+260) win vs Baltimore; and
• Tennessee Titans (+185) vs Indianapolis.

A parlay bet including these four ML wagers would carry odds of over 305 to 1 for a payout of approximately $30,577 on a $100 bet.

Now how strong is your faith? For an even greater miracle may be bestowed upon Titans fans this Sunday: If the Jaguars, Jets and Titans all win, Tennessee can still get in as the no. 2 seed if … are you ready for this? The Ravens/Browns game ends in a tie. The odds on a tie in this game are at about 55/1, but you’ll surely agree that if one NFL team in the 21st century could rack up two ties in one NFL season, it’s gotta be the 2018 Cleveland Browns.

The parlay bet on Music City Miracle 2.0 would therefore be adjusted to look a lot more like a lottery ticket, i.e.:

• Jacksonville Jaguars (+360) win at Houston;
• New York Jets (+550) win at New England;
• Cleveland Browns/Baltimore Ravens tie (+5500); and
• Tennessee Titans (+185) vs Indianapolis.

Winning this wager would fetch odds of about 4,770 to 1, to net an incredible $477,104 on a $100 bet. Want to make a cool million? A winning bet of $210 on this parlay is worth some $1,001,918 – more than enough to tip the nice teller at the sportsbook.

(Incidentally, if you need a further sign of … something, recall who’s on the opposing sideline as head coach: Frank Reich, quarterback in the 1990s with the … Buffalo Bills. So, yeah.)