We love Thanksgiving NFL football betting, part II: Washington FT +3 at Dallas

Wednesday, 25 November 2020 15:58 EST

Football betting makes Thanksgiving feel like a holiday, you know…?  In NFLbets’ opinion, Thanksgiving is the second-greatest betting day of the year: Three games, at least six bets to make, four days to analyze, and best of all we tend to do better on this day than on the Super Bowl.

We love this day of football so much, we’re running a trilogy of pieces, now delving into the big day’s games, namely…

Washington Football Team +3 at Dallas Cowboys, over/under 46 points

The immediate thought: In a game featuring Who Cares About The Quarterback versus Who Is The Quarterback, we’re thinking take the under.

After giving up a whopping 32.6 points per over in the first five games, Dallas defense has gotten enough together to resemble a reasonable facsimile of an NFL D. Cowboys oppenents have scored 28 or fewer in the last four games, and the under has hit in four of the past five. 

Unfortunately for them, Dallas is also on a 1-3 SU/ATS jag, four games in which the starting QB changed week to week. The good news for Cowboys fans but of little use to pragmatic bettors is that Andy Dalton will start at QB in this game: They’re 3-2 SU/1-4 ATS when the “Red Rifle” (lol) starts, 0-5/1-4 ATS in all other games.

Coming at Dalton and his subpar offensive line are the increasingly mean-looking Washington defensive front. Just to give one exemplar of the mismatch, the top-5 DOVA Washington FT D averages 3.2 sacks per game, while Dallas surrenders an average 2.7.In week 7, this same Football Team took Dalton out of the game and tore apart what remained of the Dallas offense to the tune of 3 points on 207 total yards.

While it could be a long Thanksgiving Day for poor Andy Dalton, every day seems to last forever with any Football Team quarterback out there. The Washington offense is 4th-lowest in scoring and, for what it’s worth, will start Alex Smith at QB a week after he went 17-of-25 for 166 yards.

So, yeah. Take the under on an O/U of 46 points – they really can’t make this line low enough – and, since either team could lose this game we’ll say take the Washington Football Team ML at +120 because the odds are better...

–written by Os Davis