There’s a “changing of the guard” mentality all over the NFL this season, with several notable old stalwarts – like Green Bay, Pittsburgh, Tom Brady’s team, and both Super Bowl teams from last year – on the downturn, and ready to replace are upstarts like Miami, Minnesota and … the New York Jets?
Truth be told, on the face of it, NFLbets may sooner rather than later look back on
as an archaeological artifact, as the final time the Bill Belichick-led Patriots were to be taken seriously as a viable bet when favored against a playoff-bound (or at least playoff-bubble) team. Everyday fans – and possibly the oddsmakers – habitually give Belichick too much credit in potentially getting his Pats over the hump with some glaring shortcomings.
The basic numbers may suggest that Belichick is getting the maximum out of his guys, with the results for bettors better than average, but barely. Consider that, in the post-Brady Era, the Patriots:
Meanwhile, the stat that Patriots backers are touted is the obvious: In all regular-season games following a bye week, Belichick’s New England teams are 15-6 SU/11-9-1 ATS since 2000. Further obfuscating the confidence in this assertion is the sick stat that, following the bye week and favored by 3½ points or less, these Patriots are 1-3-1 ATS. Make it easy, why don’tcha…?
Backing the Patriots here is the equivalent of riding the hot hand, though the post-Brady Pats aren’t exactly hot per se, but are dependable against marginal teams. In a coaching matchup or against a young QB, bettors may still feel confident in backing the Pats for the nonce.
This, despite the promising-looking Jets – but New York may have a touch of the Icarus about them at the moment. They’re on a 4-1 SU/ATS run, culminating in the week 10 win against Buffalo – but if you’re looking to fade the trends, the team looking to snap the run might well be the only team who’s beaten them SU/ATS since week 3.
What’s more, the Jets run defense has been steadily declining since 1 while Patriots Rhamondre Stevenson – who was good for 143 total yards in the week 8 game at New York – is on the ascension. The Jets have been top-notch against the pass, top-10 in most statistical categories and no. 2-ranked in interceptions. Here’s to thinking the Mac Jones sees a season low in pass attempts far from the 35 he threw against the Green Gang in the last outing.
This pick may be a shout against the winds of change, but this is definitely a prove-us-wrong scenario in week 11. We’re advising bettors take the New England Patriots +3 vs the Jets.
– written by Os Davis
The New England Patriots lost to the Buffalo Bills on Thursday night. The team's offense was struggling to find its identity. On a 2nd and 11, the team had a chance to score a touchdown, but instead they failed to do so.
The New England Patriots have a problem with their offense. They lost to the Vikings and the Bills on Thursday night. The team has dropped two games in a row. Their offense is not dynamic in any way. It's a bad situation for the team. Bill Belichick made a mistake by putting Matt Patricia in charge of the offense and he needs to find a new play-caller. The Patriots are 6-6 and don't look anything like a playoff team now.
Buffalo Bills beat the New England Patriots on Thursday night. It was the Bills' third win in 12 days and their first divisional victory of the season. They lost to the Miami Dolphins and New York Jets earlier in the year.
Buffalo Bills beat New England Patriots 24-10 on Thursday night. Josh Allen passed for 223 yards and two touchdowns.
Buffalo Bills beat New England Patriots 24-10 on Thursday night. The Bills are now 9-3 and in the AFC East title race. Patriots are 6-6 and still in contention for the wild-card spot.
The Buffalo Bills beat the New England Patriots 24-10 on Thursday night. The Patriots are 6-5 and are two games behind the Bills in the AFC East.
Buffalo Bills defeated New England Patriots 24-10 on Thursday night at Gillette Stadium. The Bills had a chance to put the game in a choke hold, but their offense was struggling. Devin Singletary's 1-yard touchdown run gave the Bills the lead. “We didn't flinch. We knew that if we just kept playing our game, we'd come out and take care of business, and that's what we did.” ‘The team didn’t change their game plan at all. They just knew those mistakes right before half were self-inflicted wounds and if they eliminated those, they'd go out there and be successful.