Week 10 ATS results: Dolphins cruising, Vikings late to the party

Tuesday, 17 November 2020 22:21 EST

Some good cashes, one very bad beat (thanks very much for making the clever choice at the exact costliest time, Cliff Kingsbury) and not nearly as many upsets as NFLbets might’ve liked – that fairly well sums up week 10 in the NFL from our perspective. But let’s add a little color to this column, which we like to call the “ATS results.”

The following are the results for the week 10 games of the 2020 NFL season, adjusted for the point spread. Game results listed in italics are those for which the SU and ATS result differed.

Indianapolis Colts 33 at Tennessee Titans 17. NFLbets took the Thursday night game as a sign that week 10 would prove fruitful. The weekend didn’t actually turn out so – except for the sportsbooks, I suppose.

Jacksonville Jaguars 20 at Green Bay Packers 10½. So the 1-8 SU/4-5 ATS Jaguars covered against the NFC Championship-contending Packers? That’s the way of NFL betting in 2020: Thus far the underdog and the under are both 4-1 in games of 13½-point spreads or higher.

New Orleans Saints 17½, San Francisco 49ers 13. Now the excitement begins: With Drew Brees out due to reported multiple rib fractures and a collapsed lung(!), will Jameis Winston get the start for the Saints next week? And was Drew Brees’s last NFL game this inconsequential regular-season game…?

Pittsburgh Steelers 29½, Cincinnati Bengals 10. Welp, so much for that upset special…

Houston Texans 7 at Cleveland Browns 2½. In the last two Browns games in Cleveland, a total of 39 points have been scored in inclement weather; probably best to start checking the weather reports before Browns games. Also of note: The Browns have scored 10 or fewer points four times this season; in the other five games, they’ve run up 32 or more. 

Las Vegas Raiders 33½, Denver Broncos 12. One of NFLbets’ biggest questions for 2020 NFL sports fans: Where’s all the love for Checky’s high-scoring offense powered with a quarterback everyone had lost faith in?

Los Angeles Rams 20, Seattle Seahawks 13. Here’s to thinking that, yeah, the 2020 Seattle Seahwaks peaked too soon – and have gone too deep into the season to have to learn to play defense…

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 37 at Carolina Panthers 23. In week 9, the Buccaneers get smoked 38-3 by the Saints; in week 10, they’re putting up 46 on the Panthers after fumbling away their first drive. The continued message to NFL bettors: These NFC South games are nothing but trouble

New England Patriots 23, Baltimore Ravens 10. Most of the top-level talent and the only all-stars on the Patriots defense are in the secondary, so why did Lamar Jackson run just 11 times on a slopy field? Is this the final proof that Baltimore won’t contend for the Super Bowl this year? Should I throw away my prop bet on them yet…?

Miami Dolphins 27½, "Los Angeles" Chargers 21. It says here that the Dolphins, currently on a 5-2 SU/6-1 ATS run, get to pay the Broncos without their first-string second-string quarterback Drew Lock? We keep waiting for a SU/ATS loss, but vs Kansas City Chiefs is still four weeks away; between then, it’s at the New York Jets and vs Cincinnati Bengals.

Buffalo Bills 30 at Arizona Cardinals 29. The gut-punch of the week for anyone who had Cardinals -2½, Cardinals -3 or the Cards ML – but the truth is after that fourth quarter, any respectable sportsbook should have refused to cash any ticket. Before Buffalo scored their literal last-minute TD, they’d run up four defensive penalties on a single drive, chased by a fifth penalty on the kickoff directly thereafter. Arizona meanwhile followed a 17-point barrage in the late third by refusing to run down clock and letting Kyler Murray attempt magic. Not exactly inspiring stuff for either team come playoff time…

New York Giants 27, Philadelphia Eagles 12
Detroit Lions 27½, Washington FT 27
Dallas Cowboys 1, bye 0
. Last week, NFLbets covered the Eagles with the reverse logic that a division leader at 3-5-1 is completely preposterous. Well, that’s the case after the Giants manhandled Philly on Sunday while the Football Team couldn’t muster up enough comeback against the Lions. It’s still possible that 5-11 could win the NFC East, one wacky outcome that can’t be blamed on 2020.

Minnesota Vikings 15½ at Chicago Bears 13. You know how every time it happens, the NFL is excoriated by some fans for allowing sub-.500 teams into the playoffs? Vikings fans are going to be doing that complaining this offseason – and the vitriol will be aimed at the NFC East “champion.”

–written by Os Davis