NFLbets is well happy with a number of profitable-looking odds and lines in week 2, but even better is a whole quartet of even tastier over/under lines. We’ve waxed poetic about why betting the under is awesome before, while everyone loves an over bet to cheer on touchdown after touchdown in a good old shootout.
The following are four over/under bets NFLbets is making for NFL week 2. Enjoy the returns with us!
New England Patriots -2½ at Pittsburgh Steelers, over/under 40½
Since Mike Tomlin became head coach, his Steelers are a poor 3-8 SU/3-7-1 ATS against Bill Belichick’s Patriots; this stat is the clearest justification for offering the Patriots as a favorite on the road, because Jones vs. Trubisky sure ain’t Brady vs. Roethlisberger. On the other hand, both defenses appear to be among the NFL’s top tier and the Patriots won’t suddenly manifest a big-play offense just because T.J. Watt isn’t playing. Also: in the aforementioned 11 Patriots-Steelers matchups, the under is 7-4. Take the under on an O/U of 40½ points.
Seattle Seahawks +9 at San Francisco 49ers, over/under 40½
It’s tough not to love the 2022 Seattle Seahawks after a nice (and, for NFLbets, lucrative) win SU/ATS against the Denver Broncos last week. So maybe Geno Smith isn’t a top-5 NFL QB; these Seahawks have a solid offensive line, some quality WRs, and Pete Carroll as head coach. As for the 49ers, they’re NFLbets’ Bizarro Chiefs: Before they get NFLbets to lay Moneys on them, Trey Lance and this offense must so show ability to score points. Two low-watt, conservative offenses in a divisional game suddenly of significance means NFLbets will take the under on on O/U of 40½ points.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers -2½ at New Orleans Saints, over/under 44
The stat that’s getting bandied about for this game is: Since Tom Brady became Tampa Bay’s starting QB, the Buccaneers are 0-4 SU/ATS against the Saints in the regular season (though 1-0 SU/ATS due to the 2020-21 NFC divisional round playoff win. The counter is, of course, that Sean Payton (6-2 SU/ATS against Brady for his career) is no longer the head coach in New Orleans. NFLbets’ countercounter: Who cares? The important factors are that Brady safety valve Rob Gronkowski is gone, the Tampa Bay O-line will go with four guys who weren’t tops on the depth chart a month ago, and the Buccaneers defense looks awesome enough to cover unders in Tampa Bay games until further notice. Take the under on an O/U of 44 points.
Arizona Cardinals +5½ at Las Vegas Raiders, over/under 51
Even considering how lifeless the Cardinals offense looked in week 1, 5½ is a lot of points to surrender on a Raiders bet – especially when both these defenses are so exploitable. At the L.A. Chargers last week, Derek Carr threw three interceptions and fumbled twice while his D generated zero turnovers and zero sacks. Against the Kansas City Chiefs, the Cards won the turnover battle 1-0 but managed zero sacks. That’s a small sample size featuring top-quality opponents but is hardly far from preseason expectations of both teams. The Raiders might threaten 50 points alone in this game, for with an OL like this, this game might be the most pass protection Carr sees all year. Take the over on an O/U of 51 points.
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