Point spread, lines, betting on NFL in London -- Broncos +2½ at Jaguars

If there is any proof of institutional memory in NFL franchises, the Jacksonville/London Jaguars are the example. Though hardly a dominant force when playing in the UK, the Jaguars have historically performed disproportionately well in Ye Olde Land – despite running with four different QBs and three head coaches in that timespan.

NFLbets doesn’t always figure in team culture when wagering on NFL games, but this one should really be taken into account for potentially quite lucrative payouts on

Denver Broncos +2½ at London Jaguars, over/under 40½ points

Since first considering London as a de facto home site for one week per season beginning in 2013, the Jaguars have gone 4-4 SU/ATS, which may not seem very impressive but consider that

• In the eight seasons since 2013 (excluding ’20, when the NFL’s Europe-based games got pandemicked), the Jaguars were 43-96 SU – a pitiable .309 winning percentage, good for a 5-11 average win-loss record – and an unprofitable 56-79-4 ATS in all games. Compared to the Jacksonville Jaguars, the London Jaguars are Super Bowl contenders.

• Of the eight London games, the Jaguars were underdogs in seven, for a mark of 4-3 SU/ATS. All other underdogs in the UK since 2013 are 8-11 SU/ATS.

• Finally, the Jaguars’ home-away-from-homefield advantage must be real, as in 2021, the team forever went down in history as the answer to the trivia questions, “What was the team that got Urban Meyer his first win as an NFL head coach?” and “…Trevor Lawrence his first win as a staring NFL QB?”

Beyond the location of the game and the mystical powers of the London Jaguars, however, one other key trend looms large:

• The 2022 Denver Broncos are just terrible despite a well above-average defense.

Between the zipless offense – the 2-5 SU/ATS Broncos allow the 3rd-fewest points but generate the least in the NFL – and the ham-handed coaching, Denver averages just 14.3 points per game despite having played just two teams with winning records thus far. Nathaniel Hackett has yet to handle the game clock; how well can he do with biological clocks?

NFLbets realizes that lots of NFL bettors have lost lots of NFL bets on the Jaguars the past three to four weeks; we’re there with you (well, a couple of times, anyway). And if you don’t believe in the Potteresque powers of the London Jaguars, remember that sometimes you’re betting for a team and sometimes you’re betting against the other. Take the London Jaguars -2½ vs Denver.